With just one more week of regular season football, we’re nearing our final list of probabilities. After losing on Saturday, Oregon has moved out of our top 4. Georgia, Cincinnati, Ohio State and Alabama are now the 4 most likely schools to make the College Football Playoff.
As a reminder, Navigate has created a model to predict who the CFP selection committee will choose after the regular season is completed and the conference championship games have been played. These are not rankings. They are the projected chances of each school making the CFP.
We’ve teamed up with AthleticDirectorU to release our probabilities. Navigate President Jeff Nelson joins Matt Brown for a podcast to breakdown and discuss the probabilities each week.
The below graphic breaks down the average number of teams from each conference selected to the playoff in our 3,500 simulations. The SEC is currently the only conference with an average above 1, and is the most likely conference to have 2 teams selected (most likely Georgia and Alabama).