As our industry embarks on one of its most popular events of the year, Navigate wants to wish everyone a happy and healthy March Madness. We teamed up with ADU to publish the below Sweet 16 projections.

 

Disclaimers
  • Model only considers games played through 3/1, so we are not predicting outcomes of late-season games and or conference tournaments – but those should have only minimal impact on season-long team stats anyway
  • The way these teams are seeded in the NCAA tournament will very likely make it impossible for us to get all 16 teams correct, but these are teams with underlying performance stats that align best with past Sweet 16 teams
  • This model is brand new and has never been used to predict Sweet 16 teams before, but we plan to provide a POV on our performance when the real Sweet 16 teams emerge
  • Stats used for projections are Strength of Schedule, Points per Game, Opponents Points per Game, Field Goal %, 3-Point %, Free Throw %, Offensive Rebounds per Game, Total Rebounds per Game, Assists per Game, Blocks per Game, Turnovers per Game and Personal Fouls per Game

Read the full article in AthleticDirectorU, including background on our current projections and key drivers.